This Mock Draft is based on what I believe will happen. Most picks are based on what most analysts (Dane Brugler, Daniel Jeremiah, Mel Kiper, the list goes on) are saying.
1. Cardinals – Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Kyler Murray will, in all likelihood, be an Arizona Cardinal. He’s a dual-threat quarterback with the arm talent to have tremendous success at the NFL level. The only question this pick creates is what the Cardinals should do with last years first round pick, Josh Rosen.
2. 49ers – Nick Bosa, Edge, Ohio State
Should he be there, the 49ers should not hesitate in taking Nick Bosa. I know there are slight injury concerns, but Bosa is far and away the best edge prospect in this class. He should have an immediate impact for whatever team he is drafted by, should it not be San Francisco.
Jets get: 10th overall pick, 41st overall pick
Broncos get: 3rd overall pick
3. Broncos* – Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
John Elway knows what kind of quarterback he wants. Lock fits his mold very well. So much, in fact, that the Broncos move up eight spots to get their guy. Lock has a great arm and impressed at the Senior Bowl.
4. Raiders – Quinnen Williams, iDL, Alabama
Quinnen Williams is the best player in this draft class. The Raiders should not hesitate in selecting him with the fourth overall pick. He’s the type of player you can mold a defense around.
5. Buccaneers – Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
Rashan Gary is going to be over-drafted, however, he does have the potential to be a decent 3-tech lineman. This pick likely also means that Gerald McCoy is on his way out of Tampa Bay.
6. Giants – Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
The Giants may end up waiting until the 17th pick to take Jones, but typically teams don’t sit and wait when it comes to selecting quarterbacks. Daniel Jones shouldn’t go this high. But, it’s the Giants.
7. Jaguars – TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa
There’s a lot of buzz that this pick could be Jawaan Taylor, however, the Jaguars need to surround their franchise quarterback with viable weapons. TJ Hockenson is a Gronk-esque tight end that can get it done in both the run and pass games.
8. Lions – Ed Oliver, iDL, Houston
Ed Oliver should be a top-five pick, but won’t be. His athleticism and skills are unparalleled for the defensive tackle position. If the Lions make this pick, they would have Trey Flowers, Ed Oliver, and Damon Harrison on the defensive line, which is really good.
9. Bills – Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky
Josh Allen could potentially fall on draft night-in part due to the number of quarterbacks taken prior to this pick. Should he fall, the Bills would simply take BPA. Though it isn’t quite a need, Allen carries great value here.
10. Jets* – Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
The Jets move down and still snag the best available offensive lineman in this draft class. Taylor would help Sam Darnold breathe and give a poor position group a much-needed boost for the Jets.
11. Bengals – Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
The Bengals are able to capitalize on Haskins’s fall. Zac Taylor is able to now mold his offense around the future of Haskins, and though they don’t draft a player like Devin White, they get the new face of the franchise.
Steelers get: 12th overall pick
Packers get: 20th overall pick, 52nd overall pick, 2020 fourth round pick
12. Steelers* – Devin White, ILB, LSU
The Steelers move up and get the best overall player left on the board in Devin White. While he isn’t expected to be here, surprises happen all of the time on draft night, and the Steelers capitalize and get another building block on their defense.
13. Dolphins – Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State
The Dolphins are a true wild-card this year. They could take a quarterback, offensive lineman, wide receiver, or edge rusher like I have them taking in Sweat here. All in all, it’s very difficult to find an edge defender with both traits and production, and Sweat gives you both.
14. Falcons – Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Cody Ford is perhaps the best interior lineman in this class (if moved inside). The Falcons need all sorts of help up front and Ford is a versatile plug-and-play tackle.
15. Redskins – Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma
I firmly believe that Brown will be the first wide receiver taken this year. He’s explosive and fits the “modern” NFL very well. Though he has injury concerns, NFL teams have ‘sky high’ grades on him according to Dane Brugler.
16. Panthers – Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
The Panthers need an edge rusher desperately, and NFL teams seem to be low on Brian Burns. Despite this, he’s an extremely talented pass rusher and should start immediately for a struggling Panthers defensive line.
17. Giants – Clelin Ferrell, Edge, Clemson
With the Giants taking ‘their guy’ with the sixth overall pick, they go Ferrell here, who’s a prototypical 4-3 defensive end that should be good in both the passing and running game.
18. Vikings – Jonah Williams, OL, Alabama
The Vikings should select the best overall offensive lineman. Here, that’s Jonah Williams.
19. Titans – Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
Noah Fant is a solid all-around tight end prospect that would effectively take over for a 34-year old Delanie Walker. Tight ends have growing value in the NFL and Fant should be a tremendous threat over the middle.
20. Packers* – Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
After moving down, the Packers are able to draft my first rated linebacker-Devin Bush. There are concerns about his size and ability to play linebacker, but Bush can flat-out ball.
21. Seahawks – Johnathan Abram, SS, Mississippi State
The Seahawks will probably move down here, but if Abram is on the board, I’m not sure that Seattle passes on him. He’s a hard-hitting safety with a high motor and great character.
22. Ravens – Garrett Bradbury, iOL, NC State
When protecting mobile quarterbacks, the center position is as crucial as it gets. Bradbury has the potential to be one of the best in the game.
23. Texans – Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
The Texans have to take the best offensive lineman available. DeShaun Watson could be even better with more than 0.5 seconds to throw. Dillard has flashy footwork and could possibly go in the top-10 if a team is sold on him.
24. Raiders – Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
I don’t see the need for corners in this draft class, meaning Williams, Murphy, Baker, Ya-Sin, and Layne could slide. However, a defensive rebuild starting with Quinnen Williams and Greedy Williams would be a spectacular start for Oakland and Mike Mayock.
25. Eagles – Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Wilkins can play the 1T, 3T, or even defensive end. While it isn’t quite a need for the Eagles, Wilkins is a high character-high motor player that almost any team wants in the locker room.
26. Colts – Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
I just love the thought of Josh Jacobs on the Colts. I could see Jeffrey Simmons here, or perhaps even a wide receiver, but Jacobs has the potential to be an elite back. Alongside a quarterback like Andrew Luck, that’s deadly.
27. Raiders – DK Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
To complete their trio of first-round picks, the Raiders select the best receiver available in DK Metcalf. While it isn’t the biggest need (with Antonio Brown, Tyrell Williams, and Ryan Grant), Metcalf would be an incredible value at 27.
28. Chargers – Dexter Lawrence, iDL, Clemson
The Chargers should be going all-in this year. Dexter Lawrence is the best natural 1-tech defensive tackle in this draft and to get him with the 28th pick would be unbelievable.
29. Chiefs – Eric McCoy, iOL, Texas A&M
Many will disagree with this pick, but the Chiefs *need* an interior offensive lineman. Mahomes is a great quarterback. But he can’t do it with more pressure. McCoy should be a plug-and-play lineman at center.
30. Packers – AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss
The Packers need a second receiver and Brown would compliment Devante Adams very well. As an outside receiver, his value should grow a lot more to any team utilizing Brown.
31. Rams – Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple
I maintain the belief that Rock Ya-Sin goes somewhere in the first round. He’s a lengthy corner with lots of potential and could start in his first year.
32. Patriots – Jeffrey Simmons, DL, Mississippi State
It’s the Patriots selecting another talented young guy. Not sure what else you expect.